Thursday, February 2, 2023
  • Login
  • Home
  • Videos
  • Podcast
No Result
View All Result
All Access MMA
  • Home
  • Videos
  • Podcast
No Result
View All Result
All Access MMA
No Result
View All Result

UFC 264 Breakdowns & predictions

by
2 years ago
in Uncategorized
Reading Time: 4 mins read
0
ufc 264 promo
10
SHARES
Share on FacebookShare on TwitterReddit

Matt Madd

The Trilogy we all have been waiting for is this Saturday along with a stacked card from top to bottom. I’ll be looking at three fights in this article and providing my thoughts and free picks for each fight.

T-Mobile arena will be packed with fans, this card sold out in minutes and for good reason. A lot of fans are hungry for live events and this will be the first sold out UFC card in Vegas for over a year.

RelatedPosts

Charles Johnson Aims to Drop “Prospect” Tag in UFC Vegas 67 Fight With Jimmy Flick

Brendan Allen Finally Gets Fight With Krzysztof Jotko at UFC Vegas 61

Dana White’s Contender Series Season 6, Episode 7 Fight Card Preview

UFC 277 Matchmaker – Projecting the Next Fight Opponents for the Winners from the Main Card

Enjoy the fight card it should be one of the better ones all year and if you tail any free plays this weekend, best of luck.

Main Card
Co Main Event

Gilberto Burns +130 vs Stephen Thompson -160

Big fight in the Welterweight division between these two. This fight is somewhat being overlooked due to the trilogy main event which I do understand. Any time McGregor is on a card all the attention goes his way.

Burns is coming off a title shot loss to Usman back in February. Burns was devastated after the loss, crying in the ring after getting knocked out. He was able to catch Usman early in the fight and stunned him, however Usman did a great job of recovering. Burns showed some inexperience in that fight and got caught multiple times with jabs and a heavy right. Seeing
Usman dropping Burns with a Jab was a bit concerning for me heading into this fight.
Thompson is one of the better and more unorthodox strikers in the UFC. A very frustrating style to fight on the feet, he uses his karate style, reach and distance game so well. Training for a guy like Thompson is almost impossible and he should be able to pick apart Burns on the feet. Burns in my opinion needs to try and get this fight to the ground and use his advantage in this fight, his grappling. The only issue is Wonderboy has great takedown defense and I expect Burns to struggle to get him down. Now Burns has improved his striking however Wonderboy should be able to play the distance game, strike from the outside and pick apart Burns for three rounds. I do like Thompson in this fight to get it done and avoid the takedowns from Burns and heavy right hand.

Pick: Thompson -160
Outcome: By decision +140 ( Lean)
Rounds: Over 2.5 Rds -163

Prelims

Giles +100 vs Du Plessis -125

This fight was scheduled before however the South African Du Plessis had to pull out. UFC was able to reschedule this fight and lucky for them it is on the McGregor card. I’m looking at Du Plessis to get this win due to his volume and cardio advantage. Giles should come out strong in the first but is known to gas later in fights and loses technique. Giles is on a 3 fight win streak however the wins aren’t that impressive in my eyes. One win was against a much smaller James Krause who took the fight on days notice and almost won that fight losing a split decision. He followed that up with a win vs Bevon Lewis, a 1-3 UFC fighter with 2 knockouts. His last fight vs Dolidze was a good win under his belt however I thought it could have gone either way and the Georgian fighter looked slow with his striking, opposite to Du Plessis.

Du Plessis is well rounded with very explosive striking and has a solid submission game. Nine submission wins under his belt and has a very solid Guillotine choke. Giles has been known to get submitted in the past, two losses in the UFC by Guillotine.

In Du Plessis UFC debut he fought the veteran Markus Perez who is no easy fight for anybody. Perez brought pressure early and Du Plessis countered with leg strikes to slow him down. Du Plessis showed in that fight he is a solid counter striker and likes to use his leg kicks. He ended up catching Perez later in the first round with a nice counter punch to finish the Joker in a solid UFC Debut.

I expect Du Plessis to use his kicks, counting strikes when Giles pushes forward with his right hand and do enough to get the win. This isn’t an easy fight to call from an outcome stand point however I could see this ending before the judges.

Pick: Du Plessis -125
Outcome: TKO/SUB/KO +160 ( Lean )
Rounds: Under 2.5 -120 ( Lean )

Early Prelims

Maia -188 vs Eye +160

I like Maia a lot in this fight, however I don’t love the price. Coming off a 5 round fight vs Valentina where she actually pushed her more than any other recent fighters. Maia showed how strong she was in that fight and was able to steal a round due to her strength and grappling. I’m expecting a motivated Maia in this fight who proved she can hang with the best in the world, Valentina.

Eye just hasn’t shown much as of late and has struggled cutting weight. Jessica is just 4-7 in the UFC losing her last two fights. I do give the edge to Eye on the feet however Maia is the much better grappler and stronger girl. Eye has shown to be vulnerable to takedowns and even in her last fight vs Calderwood was able to get her down. Maia should be able to bully her against the cage and on the ground to win this fight. Eye has shown to be tough in the past minus the Valentina KO, extending 11 of her 13 UFC fights to the judges so that’s why I’m leaning this fight to go to the judges. Eye seems more focused on her only fans and other jobs towards the end of her career. Maia should make this one ugly to get the victory and her 19th MMA win.

Pick: Maia -188
Outcome: Decision +105 (Lean)
Rounds: Over 2.5 Rds -350 ( not a bettable number)

For my best bets and personal plays in all sports join the subscription client list available at my website below. Also follow me on all social media platforms for more free picks and everything System Capping.

65% winning percentage in the UFC ( long term )

Sports Betting | Systemcapping

Instagram
Twitter
Youtube

Matt Madd
Owner of System Capping

Related Posts

Charles Johnson is ready to make a statement at UFC Vegas 67 against Jimmy Flick.
Uncategorized

Charles Johnson Aims to Drop “Prospect” Tag in UFC Vegas 67 Fight With Jimmy Flick

January 3, 2023
100
Brendan Allen
Fight News

Brendan Allen Finally Gets Fight With Krzysztof Jotko at UFC Vegas 61

September 27, 2022
100
Dana White's Contender Series Season 6, Episode 7
Upcoming Events

Dana White’s Contender Series Season 6, Episode 7 Fight Card Preview

September 6, 2022
100
Load More

Latest

Ben Askren says Jorge masvidal doesnt believe he would win against ben askren

Ben Askren Claims Jorge Masvidal Kept Turning Down Gilbert Burns Because ‘He Doesn’t Think He’s Gonna Win’ Fight

February 1, 2023
UFC Vegas 68 Derrick Lewis vs Serghei Spivac

UFC Vegas 68 Fight Card: Derrick Lewis vs Serghei Spivac

February 1, 2023
Laura Sanko will commentate on UFC Fight Night

UFC Fight Night 218 Full Card; Laura Sanko to Make UFC Color Commentary Debut

January 31, 2023
Damir Ismagulov on the scale

Damir Ismagulov Says He’s Delaying Retirement to Fight Out UFC Deal, Eyes Arman Tsarukyan Rematch

January 30, 2023
Alexander Volkanovski in the octagon

Alexander Volkanovski believes Islam Makhachev is underestimating him ahead of UFC 284

January 27, 2023

Find us on Twitter

Find us on Facebook

All Access MMA

© 2021 All Access MMA - Cage coverage, anaysis and news.

Navigation

  • Home
  • Privacy/Cookie policy
  • Terms of Use
  • Part of the Project Spurs Network

Follow Us

No Result
View All Result
  • Home
  • Videos
  • Podcast

© 2021 All Access MMA - Cage coverage, anaysis and news.

Welcome Back!

Login to your account below

Forgotten Password?

Retrieve your password

Please enter your username or email address to reset your password.

Log In
This website uses cookies. By continuing to use this website you are giving consent to cookies being used. Visit our Privacy and Cookie Policy.